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ACS Central Science

American Chemical Society (ACS)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match ACS Central Science's content profile, based on 66 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.07% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
De novo designed bifunctional proteins for targeted protein degradation

Mylemans, B.; Korona, B.; Acevedo-Jake, A. M.; MacRae, A.; Edwards, T. A.; Huang, D. T.; Wilson, A. J.; Itzhaki, L. S.; Woolfson, D. N.

2026-04-15 synthetic biology 10.64898/2025.12.22.695915 medRxiv
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Targeted protein degradation (TPD) is a therapeutic strategy to remove disease-causing proteins by routing them to the ubiquitin-proteasome, autophagy, or lysosme machineries. For instance, proteolysis-targeting chimeras (PROTACs) are synthetic hetero-bifunctional small molecules that simultaneously bind the target and an E3 ubiquitin ligase to drive ubiquitination and degradation by the proteasome. Despite considerable success, designing such molecules is challenging and the number of currently addressable ubiquitin E3 ligases is limited. Here we demonstrate hetero-bifunctional de novo designed proteins as alternatives for TPD to access more targets and ligases. First, we develop a stable and highly adaptable helix-turn-helix scaffold for presenting different binding sites. Next, we use computational protein design to incorporate and embellish hot-spot- binding sites to target BCL-xL, plus short linear motifs (SLiMs) for KLHL20 ligase recruitment. The resulting mono- and bi-functionalised proteins bind the targets in vitro, and the latter degrade BCL-xL in cells leading to apoptosis.

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Efficient generation of epitope-targeted de novo antibodies with Germinal

Mille-Fragoso, L. S.; Driscoll, C. L.; Wang, J. N.; Dai, H.; Widatalla, T. M.; Zhang, J. L.; Zhang, X.; Rao, B.; Feng, L.; Hie, B. L.; Gao, X. J.

2026-04-15 synthetic biology 10.1101/2025.09.19.677421 medRxiv
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Obtaining novel antibodies against specific protein targets is a widely important yet experimentally laborious process. Meanwhile, computational methods for antibody design have been limited by low success rates that currently require resource-intensive screening. Here, we introduce Germinal, a broadly enabling generative pipeline that designs antibodies against specific epitopes with nanomolar binding affinities while requiring only low-n experimental testing. Our method co-optimizes antibody structure and sequence by integrating a structure predictor with an antibody-specific protein language model to perform de novo design of functional complementarity-determining regions (CDRs) onto a user-specified structural framework. When tested against four diverse protein targets, Germinal successfully designed functional antibodies across all targets and binder formats, testing only 43-101 designs for each antigen. Validated designs also exhibited robust expression in mammalian cells and high sequence and structural novelty. We provide open-source code and full computational and experimental protocols to facilitate wide adoption. Germinal represents a milestone in efficient, epitope-targeted de novo antibody design, with notable implications for the development of molecular tools and therapeutics.

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Imaging Mass Cytometry (IMC) as a Tool to Characterize Circulating Tumor Cells (CTCs) in Preclinical Mouse Models

Pore, M.; Balamurugan, K.; Atkinson, A.; Breen, D.; Mallory, P.; Cardamone, A.; McKennett, L.; Newkirk, C.; Sharan, S.; Bocik, W.; Sterneck, E.

2026-04-16 cancer biology 10.64898/2025.12.18.695262 medRxiv
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Circulating tumor cells (CTCs), and especially CTC-clusters, are linked to poor prognosis and may reveal mechanisms of metastasis and treatment resistance. Therefore, developing unbiased methods for the functional characterization of CTCs in liquid biopsies is an urgent need. Here, we present an evaluation of multiplex imaging mass cytometry (IMC) to analyze CTCs in mice with human xenograft tumors. In a single-step process, IMC uses metal-labeled antibodies to simultaneously detect a large number of proteins/modifications within minimally manipulated small volumes of blood from the tail vein or heart. We used breast cancer cell lines and a patient-derived xenograft (PDX) to assess antibodies for cross-species interpretation. Along with manual verification, HALO-AI-based cell segmentation was used to identify CTCs and quantify markers. Despite some limitations regarding human-specificity, this technology can be used to investigate the effect of genetic and pharmacological interventions on the properties of single and cluster CTCs in tumor-bearing mice.

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Positive Selection Screen Identifies Natural Product β-Catenin Inactivators

Boudreau, M. W.; Freire, V. F.; Corbett, S. C.; Martinez-Fructuoso, L.; Shenoy, S. R.; Yu, W.; Kumar, R.; Thornburg, C. C.; Akee, R. K.; Peyser, B. D.; Jiang, Q.; Splaine, J.; Pfaff, J. L.; Chandler, B. C.; Abeja, D. M.; Donovan, K. A.; Che, J.; Lampson, B. L.; Cooke, M.; Kazanietz, M. G.; Szajner, P.; Smith, J. A.; Koduri, V.; Grkovic, T.; OKeefe, B. R.; Kaelin, W. G.

2026-04-17 cancer biology 10.1101/2025.08.27.671140 medRxiv
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Many genetically validated targets in cancer, including the transcription factor {beta}-catenin ({beta}-cat), have historically been viewed as undruggable. Cell-based phenotypic screening of chemical compounds can reveal new biological and pharmacological principles. Natural products are powerful probes because of their superior structural diversity, drug-like properties, and biological activities as compared to unoptimized synthetic compounds. We screened 326,304 natural product mixtures (40,744 extracts and 285,560 fractions derived from them) using mammalian cells expressing an oncogenic version of {beta}-cat fused to a suicide protein. Multiple fractions degraded the {beta}-cat fusion protein or drove it into a compartment where both fusion partners were apparently inactive. The active natural product from one of the latter specifically activates novel, but not classical, protein kinase Cs (PKCs) and thereby relocates {beta}-cat to juxtamembrane vacuolar structures. These findings suggest a path for inactivating oncogenic {beta}-cat and underscore the power of screening natural product collections with robust phenotypic assays.

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Functional PD-1/PD-L1 engagement defines a spatial biomarker of immunotherapy response

Ullman, T.; Krantz, D.; Avenel, C.; Lung, M.; Svedman, F. C.; Holmsten, K.; Ostling, P.; Ullen, A.; Stadler, C.

2026-04-17 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350929 medRxiv
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Effective predictive biomarkers for immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapy remain an unmet need across solid tumors. Here, we present an integrated spatial proteomics workflow that combines in situ proximity ligation assay with multiplexed immunofluorescence to directly resolve PD1/PDL1 signaling events at the level of defined cellular phenotypes and their spatial organization within intact tumor tissue. Applied as a proof of concept to tumor samples from patients with metastatic urothelial carcinoma treated with pembrolizumab, this approach reveals that PD1/PDL1 interactions specifically involving cytotoxic CD8CD3 T cells are significantly enriched in complete responders, while such interactions are rare in patients with progressive disease. This interaction defined T cell subset achieves superior discrimination of clinical response compared to single marker PDL1 expression or immune cell abundance alone. By integrating direct detection of protein protein interactions with high dimensional single cell phenotyping, our workflow provides a mechanistically informed, spatially resolved biomarker of functional immune engagement. Beyond urothelial carcinoma, this platform establishes a generalizable framework for translating spatial signaling biology into predictive tools for immunotherapy response across tumor types.

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Distinct Metabolic Signatures Distinguish Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer

Tsiara, I.; Vouzaxaki, E.; Ekström, J.; Rameika, N.; Yang, F.; Jain, A.; Iglesias Alonso, A.; Sjöblom, T.; Globisch, D.

2026-04-13 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350309 medRxiv
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Cancer-related casualties are the most common cause of death worldwide. The discovery of biomarkers is of utmost importance for diagnosis and disease monitoring. Herein, we performed a comprehensive metabolomics biomarker discovery effort in plasma from 615 lung, ovarian and colorectal cancer patients at diagnosis and 95 non-cancerous control subjects. This pan-cancer investigation identified specific panels of metabolites in the entire sample cohort with a high discriminating power and demonstrated by combined ROC AUC values of up to 0.95. The identified metabolites are mainly associated with lipid and amino acid metabolism as well as xenobiotic transformation. These metabolite panels of high predictive power provide new metabolic insights in these cancers and demonstrate the potential of metabolomics for improved diagnosis and monitoring disease progression.

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Virtual Spectral Decomposition of Plasma Biomarkers for Non-Invasive Detection of Cerebral Amyloid Pathology: A Multi-Channel Framework with Disease-Exclusion Logic

Chandra, S.

2026-04-15 neurology 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350885 medRxiv
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Background. Detection of cerebral amyloid pathology currently requires amyloid PET imaging ($5,000-$8,000) or cerebrospinal fluid analysis via lumbar puncture, procedures that are inaccessible for population-level screening. The FDA-cleared Lumipulse G pTau217/Abeta1-42 plasma ratio test (May 2025) represents the first approved blood-based alternative; however, single-ratio approaches cannot distinguish Alzheimer's disease (AD) from non-AD neurodegeneration or provide multi-dimensional disease characterization. Methods. We developed Virtual Spectral Decomposition (VSD), a framework that decomposes plasma biomarker profiles into biologically interpretable diagnostic channels. Four plasma biomarkers - phosphorylated tau-217 (pTau217), amyloid-beta42/40 ratio, neurofilament light chain (NfL), and glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) - were measured in 1,139 Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) participants. Each biomarker was mapped to a VSD channel representing a distinct pathophysiological axis: tau/amyloid phosphorylation, amyloid clearance, neurodegeneration, and astrocytic activation. Channel weights were calibrated via logistic regression, and performance was evaluated against amyloid PET (UC Berkeley) using 10x5-fold repeated cross-validation. Results. VSD 4-channel fusion achieved AUC = 0.900 (+/-0.018), exceeding pTau217 alone (0.888+/-0.022). Optimal sensitivity was 89.7% with 78.1% specificity (NPV = 90.8%). The NfL channel received a negative weight (beta = -1.1), functioning as a disease-exclusion signal: elevated neurodegeneration without amyloid-tau coupling actively reduces the AD probability, distinguishing AD from non-AD neurodegeneration. Complementary CSF proteomics analysis (7,008 proteins, 533 participants) identified 17 amyloid-specific proteins (0.24% of the proteome), revealing a 49:1 tau-to-amyloid asymmetry that explains why blood-based tau markers outperform amyloid markers. Conclusions. Blood-based VSD provides an interpretable, multi-channel framework for amyloid detection that incorporates explicit disease-exclusion logic unavailable to single-biomarker approaches. The architecture extends to multi-disease screening, where the same blood specimen could be routed through disease-specific modules for AD, Parkinson's disease, and cancer.

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Uncovering the mechanisms of clinically-relevant altered antibiotic responses of Staphylococcus aureus under wound infection-mimetic conditions

Rieger, C. D.; Molaeitabari, A.; Dahms, T. E. S.; El-Halfawy, O. M.

2026-04-17 microbiology 10.64898/2025.12.22.696073 medRxiv
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Standard in vitro antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) using Mueller-Hinton broth (MHB) does not reflect infection-site conditions, and its results often do not correlate with therapeutic outcomes. Here, we compared the antibiotic susceptibility of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), a common chronic wound pathogen, in simulated wound fluid (SWF) resembling wound exudate versus MHB, revealing discordant AST results across six of nine tested antibiotic classes. The most significant were 128-fold increased resistance to tetracyclines and 256-fold sensitization to {beta}-lactams in SWF. Tetracycline resistance was mediated by MntC, an extracellular manganese-binding protein, whereas {beta}-lactam sensitization was driven by cell envelope remodelling in SWF. Galleria mellonella wound infection results matched the SWF susceptibility phenotypes, suggesting SWF better predicts in vivo wound infection therapeutic outcomes. These comprehensive phenotypic and mechanistic insights into MRSA antibiotic responses under wound-infection-mimetic conditions with direct in vivo validation identify a potential new antibiotic adjuvant target and may guide improved antibiotic therapy for MRSA wound infections.

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OCA-B/Pou2af1 Expression in T Cells Promotes PD-1 Blockade-Induced Autoimmunity but is Dispensable for Anti-Tumor Immunity

Du, J.; Manna, A. K.; Medina-Serpas, M. A.; Hughes, E. P.; Bisoma, P.; Evason, K. J.; Young, A.; Wilson, W. D.; Brusko, T.; Farahat, A. A.; Tantin, D.

2026-04-16 immunology 10.1101/2025.10.22.683978 medRxiv
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The transcription coregulator OCA-B promotes CD4+ T cell memory recall responses and autoimmunity. OCA-B T cell deletion prevents spontaneous type-1 diabetes (T1D) onset in non-obese diabetic (NOD) mice and blunts T1D in a subset of more aggressive models. However, the role of OCA-B in diabetes induced by treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), and the role of OCA-B in the control of tumors with and without ICI treatment, has not been studied. Here we show that islet and pancreatic lymph node T cells from T1D individuals express measurable POU2AF1 mRNA. Deletion of OCA-B in T cells fully insulates 8-week-old non-obese diabetic (NOD) mice against ICI-induced diabetes and partially protects 12-week-old mice. Salivary and lacrimal gland infiltration and inflammation were also reduced. Protection was associated with a block in the differentiation of progenitor exhausted CD8+ T cells (TPEX) into terminally exhausted CD8+ T cells (TEX). We show that OCA-B T cell loss preserves anti-tumor immune responses following PD-1 blockade in different tumors and mouse strains. These findings point to a potential therapeutic window in which pharmaceuticals targeting OCA-B could be used to block the emergence of both spontaneous and ICI-induced autoimmunity while sparing anti-tumor immunity. We develop first-in-class small molecule inhibitors of Oct1/OCA-B transcription complexes and show that administration into NOD mice also blocks diabetes emergence following PD-1 blockade. These results identify OCA-B as a promising therapeutic target for the prevention of autoimmunity and immune-related adverse events (irAEs).

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Single-molecule cfDNA sequencing establishes clinical utility for ecDNA monitoring and multimodal liquid biopsy analysis

Sauer, C. M.; Tovey, N.; Ptasinska, A.; Hughes, D.; Stockton, J.; Zumalave, S.; Rust, A. G.; Lynn, C.; Livellara, V.; Sevrin, F.; Himsworth, C.; Muyas, F.; Nicolaidou, M.; Parry, G.; Paisana, E.; Cascao, R.; Ahmed, S. W.; Yasin, S. A.; Portela, L. R.; Balasubramanian, P.; Burke, G. A. A.; Vedi, A.; Faria, C. C.; Marshall, L. V.; Jacques, T. S.; Hubank, M.; Hargrave, D.; George, S.; Angelini, P.; Anderson, J.; Chesler, L.; Beggs, A. D.; Cortes-Ciriano, I.

2026-04-12 oncology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350410 medRxiv
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Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) profiling enables minimally invasive cancer detection and monitoring. We present SIMMA, a low-input single-molecule sequencing approach that enables multimodal whole-genome and high-depth targeted sequencing of the same cfDNA sample for both tumour-agnostic and tumour-informed liquid biopsy analysis. Across 792 plasma and cerebrospinal fluid cfDNA samples from 277 paediatric patients with diverse brain and extracranial tumours, SIMMA enabled tumour diagnosis, detection of driver mutations, and reconstruction of extrachromosomal DNA (ecDNA) months before clinical relapse. Using conformal prediction trained on genome-wide fragmentomics, genomic and epigenomic data, SIMMA predicts disease burden as a continuous variable and provides well-calibrated uncertainty estimates for each sample, achieving a limit of detection of [~]100 ppm from low-pass whole-genome sequencing data. In summary, SIMMA establishes the clinical utility of multimodal cfDNA profiling with uncertainty quantification for individual patients and unlocks the potential of ecDNA as a liquid biopsy biomarker for disease detection and monitoring across diverse aggressive malignancies.

11
Differential locus coeruleus-hippocampus interactions during offline states

Yang, M.; Eschenko, O.

2026-04-11 neuroscience 10.1101/2025.09.18.677005 medRxiv
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Patterns of locus coeruleus (LC) activity and norepinephrine (NE) release during non-rapid-eye-movement (NREM) sleep suggest a critical role for the LC-NE system in offline modulation of forebrain circuits. NE transmission promotes synaptic plasticity and is required for memory consolidation, but the field has only begun to uncover how LC activity contributes to coordinated forebrain network dynamics. Hippocampal ripples, a hallmark of memory replay, are temporally coupled with thalamocortical oscillations; however, the circuit mechanisms underlying systems-level consolidation across larger brain networks remain incompletely understood. Here, using multi-site electrophysiology, we examined LC firing in relation to hippocampal ripples in freely behaving rats. LC activity and ripple occurrence were state-dependent and inversely related: heightened arousal was associated with increased LC firing and reduced ripple rates. At finer timescales, LC spiking decreased {approx}1-2 seconds before ripple onset, with the strongest modulation during awake ripples but minimal change during ripple- spindle coupling. These findings reveal state-dependent dynamics of LC-hippocampal interactions, positioning the LC as a key component of a cortical-subcortical network supporting systems-level memory consolidation.

12
Age-specific income losses due to HPV-attributable cancers in Singapore

Blythe, R.; Graves, N.; Iyer, N. G.; Peres, M. A.

2026-04-17 health economics 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351014 medRxiv
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Introduction The link between Human Papillomavirus (HPV) and cancer is well-established. In Singapore, bivalent HPV vaccines are subsidised for females, but not males. Economic analysis of HPV vaccination has generally assessed the costs to the health system, but this may not be as relevant to individual decision-making as potential lost income. We estimated the impact of bivalent HPV 16/18 vaccination on sick leave, unemployment, and premature mortality as a function of age and sex to understand the broader impact of HPV-related cancers. Methods We developed a population-level economic model to estimate lifetime income losses by diagnosis age, sex and cancer type. We applied sex- and cancer-specific Cox regressions to the Singapore Cancer Registry for annual predicted survival from 1992 to 2022. These were combined with census and employment data to estimate HPV-associated income losses in Singapore. Attributable fractions and vaccine effectiveness data for HPV 16/18 from the literature were used to estimate the effectiveness of bivalent HPV vaccination. Structural sensitivity analysis examined the role of 80% population coverage conferring herd immunity. Results The registry contained 17,294 individuals with an HPV-associated cancer diagnosis. Lost income was greatest for cervical cancer due to its high prevalence, however the losses per diagnosis were highest for oropharyngeal cancer. Bivalent HPV vaccination led to income benefits of $SGD1,397 [$895 to $1,838] in girls and -$62 [-$76 to -$48] in boys. A gender-neutral HPV vaccination of 80% of 15-year-old Singaporeans, conferring herd immunity, would have lifetime income protective benefits of $24.4m [$14.2m, $33.7m] per cohort, a five-fold return on investment. Conclusions In addition to avoiding healthcare costs and lost quality of life, parents should consider vaccination as a means of avoiding potential income losses. A national policy of gender-neutral HPV vaccination could deliver substantial income protection due to both individual vaccine protection and herd immunity.

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Mapping the Dynamic Interplay of Mental Health and Weight Across Childhood: Data-Driven Explorations Using Causal Discovery

Larsen, T. E.; Lorca, M. H.; Ekstrom, C. T.; Vinding, R.; Bonnelykke, K.; Strandberg-Larsen, K.; Petersen, A. H.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26350943 medRxiv
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Childhood weight development, especially overweight and obesity, has been associated with mental health, but their dynamic, causal relationships, and whether these differ by sex, remain unclear. We applied causal discovery to data from the Danish National Birth Cohort (n=67,593) spanning six periods from pregnancy to late adolescence and considering 67 variables related to child and parental weight, mental health, lifestyle, and socio-economic factors. We found no statistically significant difference between the causal graphs for boys and girls (P=0.079). The data-driven models found causal influence of childhood weight on subsequent weight status. Mental health pathways were exclusively within or across adjacent periods and centered on early adolescent stress. We examined the interplay between a subset of mental health variables, containing information on externalizing and internalizing problems, and weight, and found no direct causal pathway between the two processes. These findings suggest that observed links between weight and these mental health measures may be attributable to confounding. Our findings demonstrate the value of data-driven causal discovery in large cohort studies and how to test for differences in causal mechanisms across subgroups. Results are available in an interactive application, enabling future research to further explore the interplay between weight and mental health.

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Prospective study of blood-based biomarkers and 20-year risk of clinically diagnosed Alzheimer's disease

Littlejohns, T.; Liu, W.; Maronga, C.; Tong, T. Y.; Amin, N.; Breeur, M.; Collister, J.; Parsaeian, M.; Papier, K.; Piazza, P.; Rockett, G.; Smith-Byrne, K.; Travis, R.; van Duijn, C.; Hunter, D.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26350847 medRxiv
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Identifying individuals in the preclinical stages of Alzheimer's disease (AD) is necessary for inclusion into future prevention trials. AD pathology occurs in the brain 20 or more years before diagnosis. In a nested 1:1 matched case-control sample of 426 participants selected from 19,500 members of the EPIC-Oxford cohort, we found that higher blood-based brain-derived and total p-tau 181, 217, and 231, as well as GFAP, were associated with AD over up to 25 years of follow-up (median=19.4, interquartile range 16.8-21.9 years). Of these seven biomarkers, LASSO regression selected brain derived p-tau 217 as the strongest discriminator of AD cases from controls. The AUC for brain derived p-tau 217 accounting for age, sex, and time of blood draw was 0.80, which increased to 0.82, 0.83, 0.84, after further addition of 1) APOE-e4 carrier status, 2) sociodemographic and lifestyle factors, and 3) both, respectively. Blood-based biomarkers, including the novel brain-derived p-tau 217, could identify individuals at-risk of AD two decades pre-diagnosis.

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Educational Browser-Native SIR Simulation: Analytical Benchmarks Showing Numerical Accuracy for Lightweight Epidemic Modeling

Ben-Joseph, J.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.15.26350961 medRxiv
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Lightweight epidemic calculators are widely used for teaching and rapid scenario exploration, yet many omit the methodological detail needed for scientific reuse. We present a browser-native SIR calculator that exposes forward Euler and classical fourth-order Runge--Kutta (RK4) integration alongside epidemiologically interpretable outputs and a population-conservation diagnostic. The implementation is anchored to analytical properties of the deterministic SIR system, including the epidemic threshold, the peak condition, and the final-size relation. Benchmark experiments show that RK4 is essentially step-size invariant over practical discretizations, whereas Euler at a coarse one-day step overestimates peak prevalence by 3.97% and final size by 0.66% relative to a fine-step RK4 reference. These results demonstrate that browser-based tools can support publication-quality computational narratives when solver choice, diagnostics, and assumptions are treated as first-class outputs.

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Characterizing Loneliness and Health in US Adults: An analysis of 2024 National Health Interview Survey

Dildine, T. C.; Burke, C.; Kapos, F. P.

2026-04-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.16.26351034 medRxiv
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Background: Loneliness is common and deleterious to health. Yet little is known about its population burden and health correlates in the US. We aimed to determine the prevalence of loneliness and characterize its health and social functioning correlates among US adults. Methods: With data from the National Health Interview Study (2024), we used survey-weighted Poisson regression to estimate relative risks (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for frequent loneliness by levels of self-reported general health, social/emotional support, social functioning, and healthcare utilization, adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, number of people in household, marital status, and psychological distress. Results: 12 million US adults reported usually or always feeling lonely, which was associated with worse general health and social/emotional support, work and social participation limitations, and healthcare disengagement. Conclusions: Loneliness affects millions of US adults, with substantial health and social functioning burden.

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A randomized, double blind, placebo controlled study evaluating the impact of Hericium erinaceus (Lions Mane) on cognitive performance and subjective wellbeing

Daoust, J.; Farrar, S.; Grant, A. D.; Erfe, M. C. B.; Oliver, P. L.; Luna, V.; Moos, J.; Craft, N.

2026-04-17 nutrition 10.64898/2026.04.13.26350781 medRxiv
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Hericium erinaceus (Lions Mane) is a functional mushroom with a long history of culinary and traditional use, as well as potential neurotrophic and mood modulating properties. Evidence for its effects on cognitive performance under real world conditions, however, remains limited. In this randomized, double blind, placebo controlled trial, adults aged 40 to 75 years with self reported cognitive difficulty completed a one week baseline followed by eight weeks of daily supplementation with 2 g of H. erinaceus fruiting body and mycelial biomass or placebo. Cognitive performance using a computerized battery, as well as daily subjective assessments of sleep and wellbeing, were collected remotely. 109 Participants were included in the primary analysis (H. erinaceus, n = 57; placebo, n = 52). H. erinaceus was associated with significantly greater improvement in visual attention and working memory (Juggle Factor task), subjective sleep quality, morning restedness, and mood compared with placebo (p < 0.05). No adverse events were reported in participants receiving H. erinaceus. Together, H. erinaceus supplementation modestly improved visual attention and was associated with faster improvements in sleep quality, restedness, and mood in adults with subjective cognitive concerns.

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JARVIS, should this study be selected for full-text screening? Performance of a Joint AI-ReViewer Interactive Screening tool for systematic reviews

Barreto, G. H. C.; Burke, C.; Davies, P.; Halicka, M.; Paterson, C.; Swinton, P.; Saunders, B.; Higgins, J. P. T.

2026-04-11 health informatics 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350384 medRxiv
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BackgroundSystematic reviews are essential for evidence-based decision making in health sciences but require substantial time and resource for manual processes, particularly title and abstract screening. Recent advances in machine learning and large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promise in accelerating screening with high recall but are often limited by modest gains in efficiency, mostly due to the absence of a generalisable stopping criterion. Here, we introduce and report preliminary findings on the performance of a novel semi-automated active learning system, JARVIS, that integrates LLM-based reasoning using the PICOS framework, neural networks-based classification, and human decision-making to facilitate abstract screening. MethodsDatasets containing author-made inclusion and exclusion decisions from six published systematic reviews were used to pilot the semi-automated screening system. Model performance was evaluated across recall, specificity and area under the curve precision-recall (AUC-PR), using full-text inclusion as the ground truth. Estimated workload and financial savings were calculated by comparing total screening time and reviewer costs across manual and semi-automated scenarios. ResultsAcross the six review datasets, recall ranged between 98.2% and 100%, and specificity ranged between 97.9% and 99.2% at the defined stopping point. Across iterations, AUC-PR values ranged between 83.8% and 100%. Compared with human-only screening, JARVIS delivered workload savings between 71.0% and 93.6%. When a single reviewer read the excluded records, workload savings ranged between 35.6 % and 46.8%. ConclusionThe proposed semi-automated system substantially reduced reviewer workload while maintaining high recall, improving on previously reported approaches. Further validation in larger and more varied reviews, as well as prospective testing, is warranted.

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Simulation-Based Comparison of ControlledInterrupted Time Series (CITS) and Multivariable Regression

ORWA, F. O.; Mutai, C.; Nizeyimana, I.; Mwangi, A.

2026-04-13 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350670 medRxiv
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When randomized controlled trials are impractical, interrupted time series designs offer a rigorous quasi-experimental approach to assess population level policies. Indeed, in the context of quasi-experimental designs (QEDs), the Interrupted Time Series (ITS) method is commonly thought of as the most robust. But interrupted time series designs are susceptible to serial correlation and confounding by time-varying factors associated with both the intervention and the outcome, which may result in biased inference. Thus, we provide a simulation-based contrast of controlled interrupted time series (CITS) and multivariable regression (multivariable negative binomial regression) for estimation of policy effects in count time series data. These approaches are widely used in policy evaluations, yet their comparative performance in typical population health settings has rarely been examined directly. We tested both approaches within a variety of data generating situations, differing in the series length, intervention effect size, and magnitude of lag-1 autocorrelation. Bias, standard error calibration, confidence interval coverage, mean squared error, and statistical power were assessed for performance. Both methods gave unbiased estimates for moderate and large intervention effects, although bias was more pronounced for small effects, particularly in short series. Although the point estimate performance was similar, inferential properties varied significantly. CITS always had smaller mean squared error, better consistency between model based and empirical standard errors, and confidence interval coverage near the 95% nominal levels over weak to moderate autocorrelation. By contrast, multivariable regression was more sensitive to serial dependence, leading to underestimated standard errors and undercoverage, especially at moderate to high autocorrelation, regardless of Newey-West adjustments. These findings show the benefits of using a concurrent control series and the importance of structurally accounting for serial correlation when studying population level policies with time series data.

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Patient Portal Activation Among Neurology Patients in Washington, DC

Streicher, N. S.

2026-04-11 health policy 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350061 medRxiv
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Background and ObjectivesPatient portals have become essential infrastructure for healthcare delivery following the 21st Century Cures Act, yet adoption remains inequitable. Understanding demographic and geographic determinants of portal activation is critical for addressing digital health disparities, particularly among neurology patients who face unique access barriers. We examined the demographic, geographic, and neighborhood-level factors associated with patient portal activation among neurology patients at multiple geographic scales in the Washington, DC metropolitan area. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study of 72,417 adult neurology patients seen at two academic medical centers sharing an electronic health record in Washington, DC (February 2021-February 2026). We examined portal activation using multivariable logistic regression and geographic analysis at four nested scales: the metropolitan catchment area, DCs eight wards, individual census tracts (via geocoded patient addresses), and individual DC residents. ResultsPortal activation was 64.7% overall. Activation varied by race/ethnicity (Non-Hispanic White 76.1%, Non-Hispanic Black 57.0%, Non-Hispanic Asian 57.6%, Hispanic 55.0%) and geography (DC Ward 2: 82.0% vs. Ward 7: 48.0%). Ward-level educational attainment (r = 0.948), broadband access (r = 0.889), and income (r = 0.811) were strongly correlated with activation. Within individual wards, Non-Hispanic White patients activated at 84-91% while Non-Hispanic Black patients activated at 48-64%, demonstrating that neighborhood resources alone do not explain disparities. DiscussionPatient portal activation is shaped by demographic, socioeconomic, and geographic factors operating at multiple levels. Persistent within-ward racial disparities indicate that geographically targeted interventions must be paired with culturally tailored approaches to achieve digital health equity.